Image - the speakers
San Francisco

"October Surprise": What Could Derail Harris and Trump?

In-person TicketsOnline-only Tickets

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We're entering the final days of the 2024 presidential election, but a lot can change in a few weeks.

Historically, several presidential contests have been upended in October. Coined the "October Surprise," for decades candidates have been tested at the finish line... and many have faltered.

In 2016, the "Comey Letter" damaged Hillary Clinton's favorability, and in 2020, Hunter Biden's discovered laptop threatened to derail Joe Biden. In both of these elections, Donald Trump was tralling in the polls-as he is now with Kamala Harris-so could a last-second surprise ensure victory for Trump?

On Tuesday, October 15, join us for a panel conversation about the final weeks of the 2024 presidential election, and what our political experts expect to see on election day, November 5.

We'll hear from Rachel Bitecofer, political scientist, pollster, and election forecaster turned political strategist; Jonathan M. Metzl, professor of sociology and psychiatry and the director of the Department of Medicine, Health, and Society at Vanderbilt University; and Tara Setmayer, cofounder and chief executive officer of The Seneca Project, who will join Ray Suarez to discuss the state of the race.

Notes

This program has 2 types of tickets available: in-person and online-only. Please pre-register to receive a link to the live-stream event.

If you have symptoms of illness (coughing, fever, etc.), we ask that you either stay home or wear a mask. Our front desk has complimentary masks for members and guests who would like one.

Commonwealth Club World Affairs of California is a nonprofit public forum; we welcome donations made during registration to support the production of our programming.

Photos courtesy the speakers.

All ticket sales are final and nonrefundable.

Tue, Oct 15 / 12:00 PM PDT

The Commonwealth Club of California
110 The Embarcadero
Taube Family Auditorium
San Francisco, CA 94105
United States

Speakers
Image - Rachel Bitecofer

Rachel Bitecofer

Political Strategist and Pollster; Author, Hit 'Em Where It Hurts 

Image - Jonathan M. Metzl

Jonathan M. Metzl

Author, Dying of Whiteness and What We've Become

Image - Tara Setmayer

Tara Setmayer

Co-founder and Chief Executive Officer, The Seneca Project

Image - Ray Suarez

Ray Suarez

Host, "On Shifting Ground"

Format

11:30 a.m. doors open & check-in
12–1 p.m. program
(all times Pacific Time) 

COST

Members receive 30–50 percent discounts (not a member? Join)

In-person: 
$20 
Online:
$10